第二次世界大戦が日本を変えたように、コロナが社会に改革をもたらす。 私たちの年代には、wake up callであるし、若者にはチャンス到来だ。
近々にレムデシビルなどの新薬が重篤患者を助け、ACE2を取り巻く謎が解明され、新しい治療法も期待される。トランプ大統領がFDAの尻を叩き、ワクチンの開発もワープスピードで進むだろう。秋には接種が始まることも夢ではない。
感染爆発、医療崩壊が起こらない場合の致死率は数パーセントでおさまり、不幸な地域では高齢者を中心に致死率は１０パーセントを超えていく。感染後に障害を持つ方も多く見られるだろう。
そんな中で、エスタブリッシュメントが崩壊し、文化、経済のリブート、リセットが起こる。コロナで世界が「脱皮」すると言いたい。物理化学的に言えば、コロナという大きな活性化エネルギーが社会に注入されることで、従来ではなし得なかった社会変化が起こる、それも最適化された形で。
残念ながら、非効率もしくは不幸な環境にあるビジネスは終焉を迎え、新しいパラダイムのビジネスが繁栄する。 働き方が変わり、リモートワークが普及しオフィスというビジネスの盲腸が減少する。満員電車が過去のものになるかもしれない。高齢者は必要ない通院をやめた→医療費が下がる、などなど。それが一度に起こっている。一生に一度の体験かも。最適化と変化に応じた所得の再分配を通じて消費は拡大し、経済が上を向いていくだろう。
The number of deaths, as well as those struggling with long hospitalizations and disabilities, is enormous. It's very heartbreaking to see that. However, in the developed countries, I think the commotion will subside in about three months and a new world will begin. The expression pre-corona and post-corona arose as metaphorically as pre-war, post-war, etc.
現在の都市封鎖、ロックダウンをマイナスだけに捉えす、これからの改革へのリブート、リセット期間であると考え、コロナ後の明るい世界を見据えていきたい。
雪崩のとき、何もしないと窒息する。あがき,、もがき、耐えて、上に見える光を目指すことが必要だ。2022年の東京オリンピックがコロナ制覇の記念すべき世界祭典になることを祈る。
雪崩のとき、何もしないと窒息する。あがき,、もがき、耐えて、上に見える光を目指すことが必要だ。2022年の東京オリンピックがコロナ制覇の記念すべき世界祭典になることを祈る。
The number of deaths, as well as those struggling with long hospitalizations and disabilities, is enormous. It's very heartbreaking to see that. However, in the developed countries, I think the commotion will subside in about three months and a new world will begin. The expression pre-corona and post-corona arose as metaphorically as pre-war, post-war, etc.
Just as World War II changed Japan, Corona will bring reforms to society. It's a WAKE UP CALL for our age, and it's an opportunity for our youth.
Soon, new drugs such as remdesivir will help critically ill patients, unraveling the mystery surrounding ACE2, and new treatments are expected. With President Trump beating the butt of the FDA, the development of vaccines will go at warp speed. It's not a dream to start vaccinations in the fall.
In the absence of an infectious explosion or medical collapse, the fatality rate will remain at a few percent, and in unfortunate areas, the fatality rate will exceed 10 percent, especially among the elderly. Many people will have disabilities after infection.
In the midst of all this, the establissement collapses, there is a cultural and economic reboot and reset. In physicochemical terms, the infusion of the large activation energy of the corona into society will bring about social change that could not have been possible before, even in an optimized form.
Unfortunately, businesses in inefficient or unhappy environments will come to an end, and businesses in new paradigms will thrive. The way we work will change, remote work will become more prevalent, and the business appendix of the office will decrease. Packed trains may be a thing of the past. Elderly people stop going to the doctor's office that they don't need to go to, which leads to lower medical costs, etc. It's happening all at once. This may be a once-in-a-lifetime experience. Through optimization and redistribution of income in response to change, consumption will expand and the economy will move upward.
Thinking of the current urban blockade and lockdown as only a negative, a reboot and reset period for future reforms, I would like to look forward to a brighter world after Corona.
In an avalanche, if you don't do anything, you will suffocate. All we need is to struggle, endure, and aim for the light above, and I pray that the Tokyo Olympics in 2022 will be a memorable world celebration of Corona's domination.
Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)
